2017 Industry Forecast March Update

Spring Offers Opportunity to Build Traveler Engagement Programs; Advito Predicts Modest Rise in Global Hotel Rates and Stable Airfares in 2017 Industry Forecast Update

CHICAGO, March 14, 2017 – The spring travel outlook brings good news to global corporate travel and procurement departments, according to the quarterly update to Advito’s 2017 Industry Forecast, issued last fall by the travel industry’s most progressive consultancy. There are new opportunities to strengthen traveler engagement programs; airfares will fall or remain flat in most market segments; and expected rises in hotel rates have diminished in some markets, with lower prices now predicted for the Middle East.

“While there is relative travel price stability around the world, it’s an ideal time for companies to turn their attention to other ways to impact travel program performance besides supplier management and policy changes. It’s time to influence traveler behavior by applying tried and true digital marketing practices to your travel program,” says Vice President, Jeroen Hurkmans. Travel managers should be using the same tactics on their travel programs that retailers use to influence consumer behavior.

“Just as every travel program has a business plan, they should also have a marketing strategy specifically designed to support those goals,” says Advito Principal and Vice President Bob Brindley. “That marketing strategy should not only push information to travelers to help them make better buying decisions, but also solicit their feedback as well. Travelers are more likely to engage with a program that makes them feel valued and listens to their feedback.”

The consultancy’s parent company, BCD Travel, developed a white paper, “Get Engaged: Empowering Travelers to Make Smart Buying Choices,” that offers additional information.

In addition to spotlighting opportunities around traveler engagement, Advito’s March Update addresses specific global travel trends for hotel and air:

Hotel Trends
Advito changed its hotel rate forecasts for three regions:
• In North America and Africa, the upper limit for the forecast range has been lowered, meaning prices should not rise as much as previously anticipated.
• In the Middle East, softer demand is coinciding with increasing supply. With rates now expected to decrease in Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E., Advito changed its rate outlook for the region from a previously predicted rise of 2% to 4% to a drop of -3% to -1%.

Overall in the hotel sector, these revisions offset one another and the global rate outlook remains the same.

Air Trends
Global air travel demand continues to strengthen, with traffic growth hitting a 10-month high of 8.8% year-over-year in December 2016, according to IATA. A pick-up in the economic cycle is supporting international air travel, although the performance of key domestic markets is mixed. The capacity growth that low oil prices encouraged has pushed down average fares in many markets. Airlines are trying to stabilize prices, and may soon resort to capacity adjustments to get some upward movement in pricing in 2017.

• Notably, Advito lifted its prediction for regional business travel fare increases to 2% for North America and the Middle East. It also revised its outlook for Latin America intercontinental economy fares to a 1% decrease.
• In the Middle East, per the original forecast, airline expansion will ensure that economy fares fall this year. Yet due to strengthening demand, Advito has adjusted its regional business fares forecast for this market, changing the predicted rise from 0% to 2%.

Economic Growth
The outlook for the world economy is holding steady. A small improvement in the outlook for advanced economies has offset a downgrade in growth forecasts for some emerging markets.

Oil Prices
The original oil price assumption of US$50 per barrel has not changed.

About Advito

Advito is the travel industry’s most progressive consultancy, enabling procurement leaders to modernize their approach to managing the travel and meetings spend category. Led by a unique team of multi-disciplinary experts and thought leaders, we work with both clients and suppliers to push the boundaries of traditional air and hotel sourcing and strategic meetings management for higher program returns. We provide advisory, procurement and outsourcing services in the area of corporate travel sourcing, expense and meetings management, along with RFP development and management; benchmarking and vendor management services. We minimize our clients’ travel spend and maximize their travel program value in a data-rich, consumer empowered world. Headquartered in Chicago, Advito operates in key business markets around the world. For more information, visit www.advito.com.

About BCD Travel

BCD Travel helps companies travel smart and achieve more. We drive program adoption, cost savings and talent retention through digital experiences that simplify business travel. Our 15,000+ dedicated team members service clients in 170+ countries as we shape a sustainable future for business travel. BCD’s leading meetings and events management and global consultancy services complete our comprehensive suite of solutions for all aspects of corporate travel. In 2023, BCD achieved US$20.3 billion in sales. For more information, visit www.bcdtravel.com.